It’s week 3 and so far this season we are 13 for 20 predicting games. A solid start, no doubt, but the season is young.
Saturday 31 August
Arsenal v Brighton
Prediction: Arsenal
Most likely score: 3-1
In the upcoming clash between Arsenal and Brighton, the numbers are leaning heavily in favor of the Gunners, with a 61.19% chance of victory at the Emirates. Arsenal’s high-octane attack and solid defense give them the edge, particularly in scenarios where they notch up 2 or 3 goals—likely to be the sweet spot for Mikel Arteta’s side. But don’t sleep on Brighton; with a 19.54% shot at snatching a win, they’re more than capable of flipping the script, especially if they can capitalize on their own goal-scoring opportunities. This one’s shaping up to be a tactical battle, where every inch could make the difference—expect drama, goals, and a potential twist or two in North London.
Brentford v Southampton
Prediction: Brentford
Most likely score:1-0
Brentford fans will be buzzing with confidence ahead of this weekend’s clash against Southampton, with the Pitch Analytics simulation giving the Bees a solid 60.18% chance of taking all three points. The numbers paint a picture of a potentially cagey affair, but with a likely Brentford breakthrough, as the Saints’ chances of victory sit at a mere 9.74%. Southampton’s defense will have to be rock solid to contain Brentford’s attack, which looks poised to find the net at least once. Expect Brentford to dominate, with the smart money on a 2-1 victory for the home side, though a draw isn’t entirely out of the question at 30.08%. This one might not be a goal fest, but it’s shaping up to be a tense, tactical battle where every chance counts.
Everton v Bournemouth
Prediction: Everton
Most likely score: 1-0
In the battle of the seaside towns, Everton welcomes Bournemouth to Goodison Park this weekend, and it’s shaping up to be a tight affair. Our simulation gives the Toffees a slight edge with a 43.41% chance of clinching the win, but don’t count out the Cherries just yet, as they’re holding onto a solid 27.11% chance of snatching all three points. A draw looms large at 29.48%, making it clear that this could be one of those gritty, hard-fought Premier League matchups where a single goal could tip the balance. Will Everton’s new signings show their worth, or can Bournemouth pull off a surprise on Merseyside? Stay tuned—this one could go down to the wire!
Ipswich Town v Fulham
Prediction: Ipswich
Most likely score: 1-0
In what promises to be a thrilling clash at Portman Road, Ipswich Town is tipped to have the upper hand against Fulham in this weekend’s encounter. With a 43.30% probability of victory, the Tractor Boys seem ready to plow through the Cottagers’ defenses, while Fulham will need to dig deep to overcome the odds with only a 23.76% chance of taking home the win. The 32.94% probability of a draw suggests a tight contest could be on the cards, but Ipswich’s newfound form might just edge them past their Premier League opponents. Fans should brace themselves for a nail-biter, where every goal could be the deciding factor!
Leicester City v Aston Villa
Prediction: Aston Villa
Most likely score: 1-2
The Foxes are set to face a real test this weekend as they go toe-to-toe with Aston Villa, and let’s just say the odds aren’t exactly in their favor. Our trusty Pitch Analytics simulation is giving Villa a whopping 59.20% chance to come away with the win, leaving Leicester with a slim 18.95% shot at pulling off a home victory. The Foxes could scrape out a draw with a 21.84% likelihood, but they’ll need to channel every bit of that King Power magic to keep Villa from spoiling the party. Can Leicester rise to the occasion, or will Villa leave them licking their wounds? It’s going to be one to watch!
Nottingham Forest v Wolves
Prediction: Forest
Most likely score: 1-0
As Nottingham Forest prepares to host Wolves this weekend, all eyes will be on whether the Tricky Trees can capitalize on their 52.11% chance of victory. With Wolves biting at their heels with an 18.34% shot at spoiling the party, this matchup promises more tension than a tightrope walker in a hurricane. The simulation paints a picture of narrow margins, with a 19.1% chance of a 1-0 win for Forest—though Wolves fans might still dream of snatching a 1-1 draw, which sits at a solid 12%. Will Forest’s fortress hold, or will Wolves find their bite? Either way, it’s set to be a tantalizing clash with every goal potentially tipping the scales.
West Ham United v Manchester City
Prediction: City
Most likely score: 1-2
In a clash that promises to set the London Stadium alight, West Ham United are gearing up to face the reigning champions, Manchester City, in what could be a fascinating encounter. The odds might favor Pep Guardiola’s side, with a 57.59% chance of City walking away with the three points, but don’t count out David Moyes’ men just yet. The Hammers, with a 22.21% probability of victory, have the tools to exploit any vulnerabilities in City’s armor, especially if they can keep it tight at the back and hit on the break. Expect a tactical battle where every goal could swing the momentum, with the possibility of a tight draw at 20.20% leaving the door open for a surprise result. This one’s got all the makings of a Premier League classic!
Sunday 1 September
Chelsea v Crystal Palace
Prediction: Chelsea
Most likely score: 2-0
In the upcoming clash between Chelsea and Crystal Palace, it looks like the Blues are heavily favored to secure all three points at Stamford Bridge. According to our Pitch Analytics model, Chelsea has a commanding 77.52% chance of victory, while the Eagles’ chances of pulling off an upset sit at a mere 7.69%. The stats suggest we could be in for a disciplined Chelsea performance, with most of the likelihood pointing towards a 2-0 or 2-1 scoreline in their favor. But don’t completely count out Crystal Palace—this is football, after all, where the beautiful game’s unpredictability can sometimes turn numbers on their head. However, if form and figures are anything to go by, it’s Chelsea’s game to lose this weekend.
Newcastle United v Tottenham
Prediction: Newcastle
Most likely score: 2-2
Newcastle United’s clash with Tottenham this weekend promises to be a real nail-biter, with the Magpies holding a slight edge according to our match simulation. With a 43.69% chance of a win for Newcastle, their home form and defensive solidity could tip the scales in their favor. Tottenham, though, aren’t far behind, boasting a 33.99% probability of snatching a victory, likely relying on their quick transitions and attacking flair. The 22.32% chance of a draw suggests this one could be tight, with goals on the cards from both sides. It’s the kind of matchup where every moment could be decisive, and fans of both teams should brace for a rollercoaster of emotions at St James’ Park.
Manchester United v Liverpool
Prediction: Liverpool
Most likely score: 1-2
It looks like the upcoming clash between Manchester United and Liverpool is set to be a fiery one, with Liverpool emerging as the clear favorites in our match simulation. According to our Pitch Analytics model, the Reds have a 55.78% chance of snatching all three points at Old Trafford, while United will need to muster all their grit to overcome the 23.56% odds in their favor. The likelihood of a draw sits at 20.65%, making it anyone’s game in the high-stakes battle for bragging rights. Can Ten Hag’s men pull off an upset, or will Klopp’s crew continue their march toward Premier League dominance? The Theatre of Dreams awaits a showdown for the ages.